Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.051780 0.059152 0.066752 0.075139 0.084103 0.093369 0.103642
2025-07-13 0.043509 0.054832 0.067122 0.081301 0.097072 0.113946 0.133245
2025-07-20 0.033499 0.046475 0.061256 0.078992 0.099378 0.121796 0.148046
2025-07-27 0.029293 0.043879 0.061126 0.082421 0.107466 0.135518 0.168872
2025-08-03 0.024738 0.040148 0.059073 0.083092 0.111951 0.144816 0.184426
2025-08-10 0.021051 0.036991 0.057291 0.083716 0.116071 0.153452 0.199022
2025-08-17 0.017495 0.033529 0.054749 0.083084 0.118429 0.159826 0.210839
2025-08-24 0.013484 0.028871 0.050218 0.079586 0.116991 0.161466 0.216911
2025-08-31 0.010533 0.025316 0.046814 0.077233 0.116722 0.164308 0.224234
2025-09-07 0.008730 0.023277 0.045303 0.077196 0.119227 0.170405 0.235357
2025-09-14 0.007547 0.022084 0.044878 0.078518 0.123396 0.178493 0.248843
2025-09-21 0.007112 0.022150 0.046273 0.082304 0.130735 0.190494 0.267080
2025-09-28 0.005704 0.020311 0.044868 0.082432 0.133671 0.197511 0.279901
2025-10-05 0.005758 0.021391 0.048053 0.089127 0.145391 0.215689 0.306595
2025-10-12 0.004115 0.018603 0.044927 0.086717 0.144986 0.218624 0.314626
2025-10-19 0.003712 0.018448 0.046010 0.090338 0.152613 0.231690 0.335131
2025-10-26 0.002941 0.017197 0.045153 0.091046 0.156272 0.239701 0.349391
2025-11-02 0.002290 0.016027 0.044315 0.091703 0.159811 0.247531 0.363416
2025-11-09 0.001618 0.014488 0.042671 0.091038 0.161462 0.252890 0.374334
2025-11-16 0.000868 0.012100 0.039191 0.087348 0.158769 0.252516 0.377976
2025-11-23 0.000429 0.010313 0.036597 0.084865 0.157631 0.254068 0.383965
2025-11-30 0.000233 0.009379 0.035582 0.084825 0.159905 0.260061 0.395552
2025-12-07 0.000137 0.008902 0.035466 0.086222 0.164223 0.268748 0.410573